C
OURT OF
A
CCOUNTS
DEXIA:
a high cost with persistent risks
July 2013
g
Disclaimer
Summary
of the
Thematic Public Report
T
his summary is intended to facilitate reading and use
of the report from the Court of Accounts.
Only the report implicates the liability of the Court of
Accounts. The responses from the administrations,
organisations and individuals concerned are appended
to the report.
Introduction
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5
1
Until 2008: development of a high-risk
transnational bank . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
2
Attempted bail-out
(October 2008 - October 2011)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
13
3
From the sovereign debt crisis to the break-up
of the group (October 2011 - early 2013)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .19
4
Consequences for public finances
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25
5
Potential areas of improvement for the future
. . . . . . . . .29
6
Main focuses and recommendations
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
3
Contents
At the end of 2008, the Dexia banking group posted consolidated balance sheet assets of
€651 billion, net banking income of approximately €3.6 billion and a total workforce of
37,000 employees around the world.
The Court only had authority to audit the French subsidiary of Dexia starting in October
2008, when the group, operating under Belgian private law, received public financial aid.
Over the course of 2012, the Court conducted its investigations with the Agence des par-
ticipations de l’Etat, the Treasury Division, the Banque de France, the Autorité de contrôle
prudential (French Prudential Supervisory Authority), the Caisse des dépôts et consignations
and the CNP Assurances group. Its assessments specifically covered the interventions of French
public entities, which represented only part of the whole, and did not cover the interventions
of Belgian public entities.
The events managed by public entities due to Dexia’s failure constitute an exceptional
situation in France since the hive-offs of the 1990s, including that of Crédit Lyonnais.
This report was prepared more than four years after Dexia first began receiving public
aid, at the end of a long phase during which the break-up plan was negotiated. Consequently,
the findings (particularly financial) are provisional, as the break-up or “orderly resolution” of
Dexia will not be complete until 2020.
The report is organised around the major steps in the group’s timeline: its creation and
expansion until the advent of the crisis in 2008; the attempted bail-out (October 2008 -
October 2011) ; the break-up plan (October 2011 - early 2013) and the consequences Dexia
has had and will continue to have on public finances.
Finally, the report examines the potential areas of improvement for the future, mainly
relating to corporate governance and banking regulation.
g
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
5
Introduction
7
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Court of Accounts
1
Until 2008: development
of a high-risk transnational
bank
Creation of a
transnational bank
Binational origins
The Dexia group was created in
1996 from the merger of Crédit Local
de France, which specialised in the fun-
ding of local authorities, and retail bank
Crédit Communal de Belgique.
In 1999, the two listed holding
companies - one French (Dexia France)
and the other Belgian (Dexia Belgium)
merged to create Dexia SA, a financial
company under Belgian law not opera-
ting with the status of a bank, which
wholly owned the three main operating
entities
in
France,
Belgium
and
Luxembourg: Dexia Crédit Local, Dexia
Banque Belgique and Dexia Banque
Internationale à Luxembourg.
Since its inception, the group’s
governance has been equally divided
between the two main executive mana-
gers: the Chairman of the Board of
Directors
and
the
Deputy
Chief
Executive Officer, who is the actual head
of the group. In reality, the corporate
shareholding structure has been predo-
minantly Belgian, particularly since the
2001 absorption of Artesia Banking
Corporation.
Weaknesses in the
management approach
Starting in 2006, the members of
the group’s Management Committee
joined the Management Committees of
the main subsidiaries housing the core
businesses, and the heads of the business
divisions (local public sector financing,
retail banking and private banking) took
charge of the cross-disciplinary oversight
of the businesses. The result was a disso-
ciation of responsibilities between the
entities’ decision-making bodies and the
executive managers running the Dexia
SA businesses, particularly concerning
the international expansion strategy
implemented in the local public sector
financing business.
The financial crisis unearthed major
weaknesses in the group’s management
approach: no centralisation of processes,
dispersion of market activities, a flawed
consolidated overview of cash manage-
ment, and serious failures in risk mana-
gement at certain international subsidia-
ries, including US subsidiary FSA.
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
8
Until 2008: development
of a high-risk transnational bank
Rapid expansion
Market penetration
strategy
Dexia’s managers aimed to develop
the group as both a full-servicing bank
in Europe and as a major player in local
public sector financing on a global scale.
In the 2000s, the group focused predo-
minantly on acquisitions and improving
profitability.
While continuing to develop its his-
toric markets in France and Belgium,
Dexia Crédit Local also expanded
abroad: in addition to establishing many
operations in Eastern Europe, Israel and
Spain with the creation of Dexia
Sabadell, two major acquisitions were
made in Italy with Crediop and in the
United States with Financial Security
Assurance (FSA). FSA operated in the
credit enhancement sector, particularly
for local authorities in the United States.
Several purchases in the full-service ban-
king sector accelerated the group’s deve-
lopment, including a number of expen-
sive and not always successful acquisi-
tions.
The size of Dexia’s balance sheet
grew substantially with the change in its
scope and the development of its assets,
particularly in bond portfolios, mostly
financed on the short-term financial
markets. The group’s balance sheet
structure thus held a number of structu-
ral weaknesses.
The group was still mid-sized com-
pared to the other major European ban-
king groups and did not have an ade-
quate deposit base like the diversified
banking groups. Knowing this, Dexia’s
managers tried to merge with other
banks to make up for the lack of depo-
sits supporting the group’s credit activity
and uses of funds. Two planned mergers
fell through, the first in 2004 with
Italian bank Sanpaolo IMI, and the
second in 2005 with Belgian group
Fortis.
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
9
Until 2008: development
of a high-risk transnational bank
Diagram No. 1: the Dexia Group in 2006
Heightened ambition
despite a poorly adjusted
balance sheet structure
The Dexia Group generated robust
profits of around 20% in 2005. The
group’s growth and poorly adjusted
balance sheet were under the responsibi-
lity of managers who knew the risks.
Between 1999 and 2008, the size of
the consolidated balance sheet was mul-
tiplied by 2.7. The group’s net income
climbed
continuously,
reaching
€2.75 billion in 2006.
Source: Court of Accounts
Summary
of the Public thematic report by the
Court of Accounts
10
Until 2008: development
of a high-risk transnational bank
Table No. 1: development of Dexia’s balance sheet and income (in
€
bn)
The group’s growth was primarily
driven by the increase in the portfolio of
invested assets. The bond portfolio
stood at €162 billion at end-2007, ver-
sus €106 billion at end-2005 (+53%).
The unique nature of the group’s
economic and financial model also had
to do with its local public sector finan-
cing activity, as the loans granted had a
very long maturity while the bank’s
resources were not sufficiently based on
long-term, stable funding or on depo-
sits. In fact, more than 40% of the
balance sheet was covered by short-term
funding. The group was structurally
dependent on liquidity.
The Dexia Group used interest rate
swaps to hedge interest rate risk on both
the asset and liability sides of the balance
sheet. It borrowed in the very short
term, taking advantage of its excellent
financial rating to obtain favourable
terms but having to protect itself against
the risk of rising interest rates. The deri-
vatives used to hedge interest rate risks
on both sides of the balance sheet
constituted one of the group’s liquidity
problems beginning in 2008.
The group’s financial model intrinsi-
cally relied on the smooth operation of
the money market and interbank mar-
ket, easy access to these markets and to
central banking funds, and the sustaina-
bility of the group’s excellent financial
rating, all of which fell by the wayside as
of 2008.
Accelerated growth rooted
in poorly thought-out
ambitions
A
ten-year
development
plan,
approved by the group’s governance
bodies in early 2006, set a growth target
of 10% per year from 2005 to 2015 for
the business. In the three-year plan for
the 2006-2009 period, a dividend
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Total balance
sheet assets
(€
bn)
245
258
351
351
350
405
509
567
605
651
Net income
(
€
m)
761
1,001
1,426
1,299
1,431
1,822
2,038
2,750
2,533
-3,326
Source: Dexia’s annual reports
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
11
Until 2008: development
of a high-risk transnational bank
growth target of 10% per year was set,
with a target ROE of 15% per year.
This strategy increased the group’s
risks, with the development of new acti-
vities abroad, the ramping-up of the
banking transformation (longer-term
loans, financed in the shorter term), the
diversification of increasingly complex
structured products proposed to local
authorities, and the creation of a gro-
wing portfolio of financial investments.
This growth strategy was even stepped
up from mid-2007 to mid-2008, when
the first signs of the crisis in summer
2007 should have led Management to
be more cautious.
The Board of Directors was lacking
in foresight as well as vigilance. The
individual
accountability
of
the
Directors was diluted by the fact that the
participants were rendered anonymous
in the the minutes of the Board mee-
tings starting in 2006.
Caisse des dépôts et consignations,
which held only a minority stake in the
holding company’s capital, contributed
little to the supervision of the group’s
strategy and managers, as it considered
its stake to be a non-strategic financial
investment, despite its expertise in
France in respect of its general-purpose
roles, and should have paid closer atten-
tion to the local public sector. Before
2008, neither the French nor the
Belgian government held a share in
Dexia’s capital.
Prudential
supervision failures
Before the crisis, the French super-
visor (the “Commission bancaire”, or
French Banking Commission, which is
now the “Autorité de contrôle pruden-
tial” or French Prudential Supervisory
Authority) took little action regarding
Dexia Crédit Local, having focused its
resources on implementing Basel II.
Meanwhile, FSA, a US insurance com-
pany excluded from the tighter controls
imposed by the European Financial
Conglomerates Directive, was sympto-
matic of the lack of unified supervision
of multinational groups and the frag-
mentation of financial supervision bet-
ween countries.
After the bail-out in October 2008,
the national supervisors conducted a tri-
partite inspection led by the French
Banking Commission, whose January
2009 report was not given to the com-
pany by the Belgian supervisor until
March 2010, and even then only in a
provisional form. The report undersco-
red major flaws in the group’s manage-
ment but imposed no penalties.
As such, the supervisory authorities
were not in a position to prevent any
risks before 2008, and after 2008 they
refrained from establishing and penali-
sing the failures identified even though
several breaches of prudential regula-
Until 2008: development
of a high-risk transnational bank
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
12
tions and internal control obligations
were observed.
Basel standards had positive impacts
on the expansion of the group’s balance
sheet, while fair value accounting played
a role in the impairment of available-for-
sale assets, as a result of which the group
was forced to recapitalise in autumn
2008.
2
Attempted bail-out
(October 2008 - October 2011)
First public bail-out
initiatives
A steep decline in
fundamentals
At the end of the 2007 financial
year, and despite the signs of crisis emer-
ging on the US subprime mortgage mar-
ket, Dexia continued to vaunt the soli-
dity of its model and its intention to
steadfastly continue developing its busi-
nesses.
By 30 June 2008, Dexia’s fundamen-
tals had deteriorated significantly. The
group’s consolidated equity had dropped
considerably to €8.6 billion in June
2008, versus €16 billion at end-2007,
for two reasons: available-for-sale finan-
cial assets had suffered an impairment
loss of approximately €12 billion; and
the major struggles of the US subsidiary,
FSA, led to the write-down of its shares
in the holding company’s accounts.
Despite its satisfactory prudential capital
ratio (Tier 1 equity of 11.4%), the
group’s accounting losses were enough
to negatively alter the perception of its
lenders.
The eruption of the crisis in
September 2008 caused the group’s risks
tomaterialise. The rating agencies placed
Dexia’s long-term rating on negative
outlook, further undermining its borro-
wing capacities on the financial markets.
A hastily decided capital
increase
Given the problems encountered by
the group, and with the banking system
in general on the brink of collapse, the
Belgian,
French
and
Luxembourg
governments were forced to negotiate
the recapitalisation of the group. Carried
out hastily, without calling on members
of the public sector that became share-
holders after the company was listed,
this capital increase led to the write-
down of the shares held by public enti-
ties.
The capital increase was equally car-
ried out between a block of French
public entities and a block of Belgian
public entities, in the amount of €3 bil-
lion each. The Belgian public sharehol-
ders were financially unable to partici-
pate in the capital increase, and two had
to borrow from Dexia Banque Belgique.
The French government invested €1 bil-
lion via SPE, and Caisse des dépôts
invested €2 billion, including €445 mil-
lion for Fonds d’épargne and €288 mil-
lion for CNP Assurances.
The additional stake purchased for
the Fonds d’épargne was highly questio-
nable, given that its investment portfolio
is required to diversify risks. The risk
associated with Dexia’s recapitalisation
was ultimately borne by the State, as the
guarantor of the Fonds d’epargne’s liqui-
dity. The conditions in which CNP
13
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Court of Accounts
Assurances took part in the capital
increase were also cause for criticism in
that the majority of the risks was borne
by life insurance policyholders.
In accordance with Belgian law, the
acquisition price was based on the ave-
rage price over the past 30 calendar days.
At €9.90, this price was 40% higher
than the share’s value on the day before
the capital increase (€7.07).
Critical liquidity support
The recapitalisation did not resolve
all the group’s problems, however, parti-
cularly its major liquidity crisis which
could have caused it to default on pay-
ment.
In addition to the highly unfavoura-
ble environment, this liquidity crisis can
be attributed to three factors: the group’s
excessive confidence in its oversight of
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Attempted bail-out
(October 2008 - October 2011)
14
31/12/2007
31/12/2008
Caisse des dépôts Group
(general section and «fond
d’épargne»)
11.9%
17.61%
CNP Assurances
2.0%
2.97%
French State (
via
SPPE)
-
5.73%
Holding company
16.2%
14.34%
Arco Group
17.7%
13.92%
Ethias Group
6.3%
5.4%
Belgian State (
via
SFPI)
-
5.73%
Flemish region
-
2.87%
Walloon region
-
2.01%
Brussels (capital) region
-
0.86%
Others
45.9%
28.92%
Table No. 2: Dexia’s shareholding structure from end-2007 to end-2008
Source: Dexia’s annual report, restated by the Court of Accounts
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Attempted bail-out
(October 2008 - October 2011)
liquidity management; its lack of res-
ponse to the diminishing confidence
affecting the credit enhancement acti-
vity in the US, among other things; and
its very poorly adjusted balance sheet.
As Dexia was unable to obtain the
usual market financing and the group
was at risk of “systemic” default liable to
affect its financial stability, the central
banks took massive intervention, parti-
cularly in the third quarter of 2008. In
October 2008, the State governments
had to provide guarantees for the group’s
debt issues to help it regain investor
confidence: the maximum limit on this
guarantee initially stood at €150 billion,
divided between Belgium (60.5%),
France (36.5%, i.e. a max of €54.75 bil-
lion) and Luxembourg (3%).
This limit
was later lowered to €100 billion until
Dexia fully exited the guarantee mecha-
nism in July 2010. The central banks
also provided emergency liquidity funds
pending the group’s gradual return to
the markets in 2009 and 2010.
Very little accountability
for Dexia’s Executive
Management
In 2008, the main measure taken
against the group’s Management was the
removal, at the State governments’
request, of the Chief Executive Officer
and the Chairman of the Board of
Directors, along with the establishment
of a bi-national Management team.
Renewal of the Board of Directors was
very partial until 2009.
The group’s executive managers were
not held accountable, either on the civil
or criminal front, by the regulators, sha-
reholders or State governments investing
in its capital. The two main investigative
reports by the Parliaments in France and
Belgium only vaguely referred to this
issue. The Court of Accounts noted that
the executive managers’ substantial
indemnities and benefits were maintai-
ned, with the notable exception of the
French government’s opposition to a
severance payment of €3.7 million to
the resigning Chief Executive Officer.
The Board of Directors granted him one
year’s fixed salary.
The benefits maintained for execu-
tive managers who stepped down or
were forced to resign consisted of a sup-
plementary pension scheme and transac-
tional termination agreements.
A supplementary pension scheme
(“top-hat pension”) was set up in 1996
for a number of French executive mana-
gers. This scheme was questionable for
two reasons: it was not actually a collec-
tive scheme and the guaranteed amount
did not deduct the amount of public
pensions received, despite the fact that
some beneficiaries had worked several
years in civil service jobs. This scheme
was terminated as of January 2010;
however, six former executive managers
were able to keep the benefits of the
scheme, and four of the six had pre-
viously held civil service jobs. Only the
former Chairman of the Board of
Directors (previously a civil servant) was
forced to give up half the amount of his
15
top-hat pension, while the company
ended up not instigating a procedure
aimed at cancelling the Board’s decisions
that were possibly in violation of Belgian
law.
The transactional agreements were
entered into with four former managers
who left the company, three of whom
were also originally civil servants. Two
took jobs in the public sector again after
leaving the Dexia Group, which is
authorised by the civil servant status but
which, in the Court’s opinion, should
exclude them from receiving indemni-
ties associated with the termination of
executive management positions in a
public company or a company receiving
State financial aid.
All in all, in the wake of the public
financial aid provided in 2008, the mea-
sures taken to hold the group’s Executive
Management accountable were highly
insufficient. At the time, it was conside-
red enough to change the Management
team, and the severance pay was main-
tained. The top-hat pension schemes
have not been called into question for
the future.
Restructuring plan:
a compromise and a
tenuous gamble
The Dexia Group’s public bail-out
plan consisted of State aid within the
meaning of Community law: the
European Commission authorised the
plan under certain conditions, particu-
larly the implementation of a restructu-
ring or transformation plan in accor-
dance with competition law.
Restructuring plan approved
and implemented
The definition of a restructuring
plan and its approval by the European
Commission were marked by a long and
difficult process. On the French side of
things, several intermediaries were invol-
ved, and the definition of the plan met
with coordination problems, mainly
between the French and Belgian govern-
ments.
The plan was initially submitted on
18 February 2009. It was deemed insuf-
ficient by the European Commission,
which called for the expansion of the
scope of disposals without going as far as
expecting the sale of Turkish subsidiary
DenizBank. In the additional measures
submitted by the governments in
February 2010, the creation of a defea-
sance (or “bad bank”) structure was
ruled out, as the resulting losses were
deemed excessive by the intermediaries.
The
solution,
approved
by
the
Commission, was to segregate a legacy
assets portfolio containing the group’s
lowest-quality assets.
With these choices, there was no
basic questioning of Dexia’s economic
model, and the recovery assumptions
adopted tended to suggest that the 2008
crisis would not have a lasting impact.
With a 35% reduction in the size of
Dexia’s balance sheet over six years to
€427 billion by end-2014, the European
Commission’s requirements were relati-
Attempted bail-out
(October 2008 - October 2011)
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
16
vely moderate, within the average for the
plans approved after the crisis.
Between 2008 and 2011, the targets
assigned to the Group were achieved on
the whole: the balance sheet reduction
was globally in line with the plan’s objec-
tives, cost-cutting goals were met and
the scheduled disposals were carried out
in due time (the most significant being
that of US subsidiary FSA). However,
Dexia was unable to sell either its Italian
subsidiary, Crediop, or its Spanish subsi-
diary, Sabadell. Keeping them on Dexia
Crédit Local’s balance sheet accounted
for around €250 billion in legacy assets
at end-2012.
Persistent balance sheet
risks
During the period from 2009 to
mid-2011, Dexia did not change its stra-
tegy concerning the disposal of sove-
reign bonds. The positive outcome of
the stress tests boosted the confidence of
the company, the governments and the
Commission in what proved to be an
overly optimistic evaluation of the
group’s capacity to handle the credit risk
associated with sovereign debt without
having to increase its capital. The sove-
reign bonds were necessary to refinance
the group, which offered them as colla-
teral to the European Central Bank or
on the interbank market, and the secu-
rity of liquidity sources was critical.
Given the massive discount of the bonds
on the markets, however, substantial
losses should have been recognised.
Finally, Dexia, like other French banks,
contributed to euro zone solidarity at
the request of the public authorities.
From 2008 to 2011, the search was
on for a partner with a deposit base that
could be used to shore up the group.
The contacts and discussions at both the
international and national levels proved
unsuccessful in this regard. The result
was the permanent realisation of Dexia’s
isolation, which compromised the conti-
nuation of the business in the form it
had maintained from the beginning.
This isolation had a lot to do with the
subsequent decision to break up the
bank.
Attempted bail-out
(October 2008 - –October 2011)
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
17
Court of Accounts
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
3
From the sovereign debt
crisis to the break-up of
the group
(October 2011 - early 2013)
Systemic risk
Three liquidity shocks
In early 2011, the volume of Dexia’s
short-term funding requirements had
been reduced to €96 billion, going
beyond the target set in the 2008
restructuring plan. However, a wave of
three liquidity shocks beginning in the
second quarter of 2011 thwarted the
recovery efforts undertaken up to then.
The first shock affected USD fun-
ding, caused when the US Congress
challenged the opening of refinancing
facilities to European banks by the
Federal Reserve. At the time, Dexia still
had a very large volume of US funding,
but it was able to handle this first shock
successfully.
The second shock took place in
spring
2011,
when
Moody’s
and
Standard & Poor’s threatened to place
Dexia’s rating on negative outlook due
to the risks associated with its sovereign
debt holdings. This decision cut off
Dexia’s access to the short-term market
funding it needed.
The third shock was fatal: it came
with the exacerbation of the sovereign
debt crisis in October 2011, at which
point Dexia’s credit rating was officially
placed on negative outlook. This deci-
sion triggered a flight of deposits that
topped €4 billion in one week at the
Belgian and Luxembourg subsidiaries,
creating a highly sensitive situation for
the public authorities in these countries.
As a result of these events, the group
was no longer able to cover its liquidity
requirements through the usual market
channels, and thus in order to prevent
the company from defaulting on pay-
ment the central banks and public enti-
ties had to exceptionally intervene.
Furthermore, these liquidity require-
ments were increased due to the interest
rate swaps entered into with its counter-
parts, with Dexia having to offset the
drop in the market value of the swaps as
interest rates fell.
Systemic effects of filing
for bankruptcy
Filing for bankruptcy was ruled out
due to the considerable effects this deci-
sion would have generated.
In November 2011, Dexia was listed
among the world’s systemically impor-
tant banks by the Financial Stability
Board. Had it filed for bankruptcy, the
19
20
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
From the sovereign debt crisis to the
break-up of the group
(October 2011–early 2013)
terms of sale of its assets and terms of
repayment of liabilities would have
undermined not only State public
finances but also financial stability itself.
In addition, Dexia had entered into
massive derivatives contracts with other
financial institutions (notional amount
of €605 billion in September 2011). A
sell-off could have destabilised the
secondary sovereign bond market.
Finally,
the
earnings
of
the
Eurosystem central banks could have
been impacted, as they would have also
seized the Dexia shares provided as col-
lateral and resold them on the market,
generating discount risks.
New emergency
measures
Given its highly deteriorated cash
position in Q3 2011, Dexia received
exceptional facilities from the national
central banks. In September 2011,
emergency liquidity funds were jointly
provided by the French and Belgian cen-
tral banks, as in 2008. As from end-
September 2011, the group also borro-
wed from Agence France Trésor, in the
form of an unsecured government cash
deposit, on an overnight basis.
Breaking up Dexia: an
imposed decision,
with necessary tran-
sitional measures
As liquidity tensions once again
began mounting in May 2011, Dexia
examined various scenarios for the dis-
posal of its subsidiaries. The flight of
deposits in Belgium and Luxembourg
drove the authorities of both countries
to step up the spin-off of –Dexia Banque
Belgique
and
Dexia
Banque
Internationale à Luxembourg –from the
rest of the group. The take-over of Dexia
Banque Belgique by the Belgian govern-
ment generated an accounting loss of
€4.048 billion, leaving the French local
public sector financing division, repre-
sented by Dexia Crédit Local, comple-
tely isolated. At this point, the Deputy
Director was authorised to launch nego-
tiations to have the main subsidiary of
Dexia Crédit Local (Dexia Municipal
Agency) be backed by French public
entities, led by Caisse des dépôts et
consignations.
The State governments negotiated
temporary aid consisting in renewing
the funding guarantee mechanism for an
amount limited to €45 billion, tempora-
rily
approved
by
the
European
Commission in December 2011. This
mechanism was then extended to
September 2012, with a maximum limit
on State guarantees raised to €55 billion.
When the guarantee agreement was
signed, Dexia used a “self-subscribed”
shares mechanism allowing it to obtain
21
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
From the sovereign debt crisis to the
break-up of the group
(October 2011–early 2013)
less expensive funding than it could get
from
the
national
central
banks.
However, the European Central Bank
decided in July 2012 to significantly
limit the volume of these shares for euro
zone banks, thus undermining certain
assumptions on the funding of the
break-up plan.
“Orderly resolution”
plan
After the failed bail-out, the govern-
ments had to agree on how to organise
the group’s run-off management in
accordance with Community principles
on government aid. The positions and
interests of national and community
players alike initially diverged, and the
discussions
were
highly
complex.
Consequently, in March 2012, the
European Commission rejected the first
version of the break-up plan.
The second version, known as the
“orderly resolution” plan, submitted in
November 2012, was approved by the
European Commission. This plan calls
for Dexia Crédit Local, –which became
the group’s only major remaining asset,
to –keep its banking license, allowing it
to continue granting loans but on a very
limited basis until 2014. This also gives
it continued access to ECB refinancing
operations and prevents the creation of a
public defeasance structure in France,
which would cause national public debt
to increase by some six GDP points.
Under the orderly resolution plan,
the amount of the permanent State gua-
rantee comes to
€85 billion and
France’s share was increased from 36.5%
to 45.59%, i.e. significantly higher than
under the 2008 bail-out plan. Eleven
Dexia Group entities are now under
run-off management. In principle, the
loan books and bond portfolios of these
entities will be held to maturity to avoid
selling them at a loss. As regards the
group’s funding through to 2020, the
aim is to regain access to the market by
limiting and then significantly reducing
its use of the various central bank facili-
ties.
In December 2012, a new capital
increase was carried out by the Belgian
and French governments for a total of
€5.5 billion (the French government
subscribed for €2.585 billion). The
French State now holds a 44.4% stake
and the Belgian State a 50.02% stake in
Dexia’s capital. The Caisse des dépôts
Group now holds only 1.30%.
The painstaking
creation of a new
credit institution
The break-up of the Dexia Group
left the French public authorities with
the task of deciding what the future
would
be
for
subsidiary
Dexia
Municipal Agency (DMA) which, as
part of the sub-group Dexia Crédit
Local, housed the large majority of the
outstanding local public sector loans
and whose purpose is to refinance local
public sector loans by issuing high cre-
dit-quality covered bonds (
obligations
foncières
).
22
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
From the sovereign debt crisis to the
break-up of the group
(October 2011–early 2013)
The subsidiary’s fate was the focus of
a long and particularly painstaking deci-
sion-making process. The State carried
out two successive mediation proce-
dures, and considered various successive
schemes to arrive at a compromise with
its partners, –Caisse des dépôts and La
Banque Postale–. The first memoran-
dum of understanding (MoU), submit-
ted to the European Commission in
March 2012, was rejected, mainly
because it did not sever the ties between
Dexia Crédit Local (which had also
become a shareholder) and DMA.
In September 2012, a second MoU
was approved. Under the second plan,
three different entities were created:
CAFFIL
(French
local
financing
scheme) to take over DMA’s balance
sheet; the SFIL (local financing com-
pany) to back the mortgage company
(
société de crédit foncier
); and a joint ven-
ture, La Banque Postale collectivités
locales, between Caisse des dépôts et
consignations and –La Banque Postale.
Caisse des dépôts et consignations and
La Banque Postale, initially called upon
to take over DMA’s balance sheet at the
end of 2011, are therefore still involved
in the funding of local authorities. The
European Commission justified the use
of State aid by agreeing for the newly
created structure to be considered as a
“development bank”
in response to a
market failure. Within three years it will
examine the possibility for the SFIL to
be recognised as a commercial bank.
The objective is therefore to demons-
trate the profitability of the structure as
a whole.
The State owns 75%
of the new cre-
dit institution, acquired for the symbo-
lic sum of €1. Caisse des dépôts et consi-
gnations only holds a 20% stake and La
Banque Postale a 5% stake.
Accredited as a credit institution in
January 2013, the main purpose of the
SFIL is to renegotiate high-risk loans in
particular, to restructure these loans and
to negotiate additional loans that will
count as new outstandings of €1 billion
per year. An initial covered bond issue
was carried out by its subsidiary, –CAF-
FIL–, on 9 July 2013.
From the sovereign debt crisis to the
break-up of the group
(October 2011–early 2013)
23
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Diagram No. 2: creation of entities dedicated to the funding of local authorities
(December 2012)
Source: Court of Accounts
25
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Court of Accounts
4
Consequences for public
finances
Weakening of local
public sector
financing
Withdrawal of a major
contributor
Beginning in 2008, the gradual
withdrawal of Dexia Crédit Local spar-
ked fears of a restriction in available fun-
ding.
To offset this withdrawal, the public
authorities asked the Fonds d’épargne to
structurally intervene in the long-term
lending
segment,
with
budgets
of €3.6 billion in 2011 and €2 billion in
2012. Furthermore, three exceptional
budgets of €5 billion each were set up in
2008, 2011 and 2012 to provide shor-
ter-term loans.
Another budget totalling €20 billion
was recently approved for the 2013-
2017 period. Made available to local
authorities by Caisse des dépôts et consi-
gnations, its purpose is to finance pro-
jects for which market funding is inade-
quate concerning long-term invest-
ments, based on a list of possible uses of
funds established by the government
(construction of social housing, deploy-
ment of very high-speed digital net-
works, etc.).
It will be necessary to supervise the
coordination and consistency of the
offers proposed by the Fonds d’épargne
and the SFIL in order to prevent the
“crowding-out” of the new credit insti-
tution.
Inheritance of Dexia
Crédit Local’s structured
loans
Structured loans are complex vehi-
cles that include a loan and a derivative
product in the same contract. Often
beneficial in the initial repayment phase,
they usually involve a riskier second
phase in which the interest rates payable
by the local authority can increase shar-
ply. These structured loans, broadly dis-
tributed to the local public sector, have
also been granted by credit institutions
other than Dexia.
During
the
restructuring
plan
implemented from 2008 to 2011, total
outstanding structured loans on Dexia
Crédit Local’s balance sheet fell by
nearly 18% from €26.58 billion in
2008 to €21.88 billion in 2011. Most of
these loans were recorded on the balance
sheet of Dexia Municipal Agency (now
CAFFIL), which refinanced them.
Consequently, the highest volumes
of “high-risk” and “very high-risk” loans
are recorded on CAFFIL’s balance sheet
and, to a lesser extent, on that of Dexia
Crédit Local, totalling nearly €12 billion
at the time the resolution plan was sub-
mitted in late 2012.
26
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Sales of structured loans gave rise to
legal disputes, which are liable to have a
substantial impact on the income of
Dexia Crédit Local and CAFFIL. There
are two main reasons for the civil pro-
ceeding in progress: reasons inherent to
the structured loan agreements and rea-
sons linked to the annual percentage rate
(APR). If the court rules in favour of the
plaintiff, the penalty is to return to the
legal interest rate, which is especially low
today (0.04% in 2013), from the start of
the
loan
agreement.
Furthermore,
besides the opportunity loss on the inte-
rest, there is an additional cost associa-
ted with unwinding the interest rate
swaps set up to hedge against the interest
rate risk on each of the loans.
The risk of an unfavourable ruling
materialised for the first time with the
decision handed down by the Nanterre
Court of First Instance on 8 February
2013. Dexia Crédit Local, which was
joined by the SFIL, appealed the deci-
sion.
Depending on the case, the financial
risk for Dexia Crédit Local and the SFIL
ranges from 100% to 130% of the outs-
tanding loan. Due to the budgetary
impacts of these legal disputes for public
entity shareholders, there may be suffi-
cient general interest to call for legisla-
tive validation measures.
Costs observed to
date
Direct cost for the State
Since 2008, public involvement
with Dexia has generated a significant
cost for public entities, which has only
been partially offset by the fees earned
from the provision of financial guaran-
tees and interest on loans granted by the
Banque de France.
To date, the direct cost for the State
government has been €2.72 billion,
which is the difference between budget
expenditures related to the State’s invest-
ment in the 2008 capital increase
(€1 billion, a total write-down) and in
the December 2012 capital increase
(€2.585 billion), on the one hand, and
the fees earned from guarantees issued to
the Dexia Group from 2008 to 2012
(€864 million), on the other.
Cost for the Caisse des
dépôts Group
As one of Dexia’s historic sharehol-
ders, the general section of Caisse des
dépôts et consignations lost the value of
its investment, i.e. a loss of €2.859 bil-
lion.The Fonds d’épargne’s loss follo-
wing the 2008 capital increase came to
€1.038 billion.
CNP Assurances’ investment, howe-
ver, did not directly impact its financial
statements because it was predominantly
borne by the life insurance policyhol-
ders.
Consequences for
public finances
27
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Consequences for
public finances
Cumulative costs from
2008 to 2012
Excluding “second round” effects,
cumulative Dexia-related costs for
French public entities are estimated at
€6.618 billion. To get an overview of the
costs linked to the break-up of the group
for national taxpayers, it would also be
necessary to include the costs incurred
by Belgian entities, which added up to at
least an equivalent amount.
Persistent risks for
public finances
A scenario based on major
uncertainties
The orderly resolution plan relies on
the long-term run-off management of
the remaining Dexia Group. The base-
line scenario of the plan includes projec-
tions on a 2020 horizon, with three
main uncertainty factors. The first factor
is external and has to do with how the
situation in the euro zone evolves
(macroeconomic assumptions on inte-
rest rates and on changes in the coun-
tries’ financial ratings). The second fac-
tor is internal and relates to the valua-
tion of assets remaining on the balance
sheet and how fast the volume of these
assets can be reduced. The assumption is
that the residual Dexia Group will conti-
Table No. 3: cumulative costs related to Dexia (2008-2012)
(in
€
bn)
State
CDC -
general section
Fonds
d’épargne
Total
Historic equity investments
-
1.593
0.592
2.185
2008 recapitalisation
1
(via SPPE)
1.266
0.446
2.712
Guarantee fees
-0.864
-
-
-0.864
2012 recapitalisation
2.585
-
-
2.585
Total
2.721
2.859
1.038
6.618
Source: Court of Accounts calculations
Consequences for
public finances
28
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
nue to carry these assets over the long
term, with a balance sheet that will still
total €150 billion in 2020 if all goes to
plan. The third factor is the decrease in
the use of State guarantees, following a
peak in 2014. The group will need to
obtain funding primarily through unse-
cured market loans.
Vulnerability to
unforeseen circumstances
The baseline scenario of the orderly
resolution plan has given rise to several
stress assumptions, but no alternative
scenarios have been considered. The
main risks are linked to changes in inte-
rest rates, which can substantially alter
the availability and cost of liquidity for
the group; the downgrading of the credit
rating on the group’s balance sheet assets
(particularly
sovereign
government
bonds); poor investor appetite for Dexia
bonds without government backing;
and unforeseen strains on financial
expenses undermining income.
Simulated possibilities are neither
correlated nor are they necessarily
cumulative. Nevertheless, adding up
their impacts shows that additional fun-
ding requirements compared to the
baseline scenario could reach €20
bil-
lion for several years, and this amount is
included in the maximum State guaran-
tee limit of €85
billion authorised by
the European Commission. The risk of
calling on the State guarantee thus
appears to be relatively low. However,
the risk of recapitalisation, which has
not been precisely quantified, is not insi-
gnificant in the event of additional costs
affecting financing conditions, a deterio-
ration in the value of financial assets or
insufficient regulatory prudential capi-
tal.
Overall, the run-off management
scenario with the prospect of a return to
breakeven in terms of defeasance by
2018 was considered cautious but
uncertain by the players themselves. The
Court would stress the highly unpredic-
table nature of these projections, which
are based in particular on the assump-
tion of a return to growth in the euro
zone.
29
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Court of Accounts
5
Potential areas of
improvement for
the future
In addition to the observations
already made on the specific characteris-
tics of Dexia’s governance, the inadequa-
cies of prudential supervision, and the
cost in terms of public finances and the
funding model for the local public sec-
tor, the Court has identified a number
of potential areas for improvement
concerning corporate governance and
banking regulation in particular.
Enhanced
governance of
financial companies
Considerable progress has been
made since the 2000s in terms of risk
management through governance in lis-
ted groups. Having said that, external
controls of governance bodies - above
and beyond self-assessments or peer
reviews - need to be expanded by giving
more control powers to Shareholders’
Meetings and prudential supervisors.
Rules of governance, and particularly
those pertaining to executive manage-
ment remuneration policies, need to be
strengthened.
A change is called for in order to
align shareholder and executive manage-
ment interests with the interests of local
authorities to prevent and avoid the use
of public funds. The national prudential
supervisor is probably the most qualified
to exercise control over the governance
of credit institutions. The current draft
law on the segregation and regulation of
banking activities calls for expanding the
French
Prudential
Supervisory
Authority’s scope of expertise in terms of
banking resolutions and giving it greater
powers over governance bodies. The
effectiveness of such measures would
need to be verified.
Critical European
reforms underway
for crisis resolution
The European Commission is deter-
mined to learn from the crisis, and has
launched the “banking union” reform to
establish overall banking supervision by
the European Central Bank and define a
framework for the management of ban-
king resolutions.
The implementation of a single
supervisory mechanism at the European
level was considered to be the most
urgent project because it was the prere-
quisite for calling on the European
Stability Facility to recapitalise banks.
The single supervisory mechanism
could be effective by summer 2014. If
this mechanism had been in place,
Dexia would have been under central
supervision, and consequently the
group’s various entities would have been
subject to consistent and effective super-
vision.
30
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Potential areas of improvement
for the future
The crisis also proved that it was
necessary to bolster bank liquidity. This
initiative must go hand-in-hand with
the limitation of the balance sheet leve-
rage ratio. Similarly, the raising of capi-
tal requirements would help improve the
resilience of banks. The new Basel III
prudential capital rules deal with these
issues. These rules are the focus of the
future CRD IV and should come into
force as of 1
st
January 2014.
However, not all of these projects
have been finalised and some will proba-
bly take a long time to implement.
Given the shortcomings of the
European regulatory framework, the cri-
sis saw the consequences of the bank fai-
lures impact the governments that step-
ped in to support their banking sector.
This effort sometimes weighed heavily
on national debts and budgets, with
management of these failures often pro-
ving complex and difficult, as was the
case with Dexia.
*
The Dexia disaster caused and will
continue to cause -for many long years-
high costs and risks for the State and the
associated public entities. It led to the
resurgence of public financing mecha-
nisms for the local public sector. In light
of the vulnerability of the institutions
under public control taking up the
baton for the Dexia Group, the major
risks for public finances, and the impor-
tance of the fundamental issues raised by
this incident, the Court intends to exer-
cise a high level of vigilance on the mat-
ter and will re-examine it in its various
public communications.
31
Summary of the
Thematic Public Report from the
Court of Accounts
Main focuses and
recommendations
____________________________
(1)
Court of Accounts,
2013 Annual Public Report, Part II
. Bank support plan: a provi-
sional financial overview, incomplete supervision of remuneration, pg. 155-190. French
documentation, February 2013, 605 pages, available at www.ccomptes.fr
The findings of the report point to
potential areas of reform to improve
the supervision of the banking sector.
Following the recommendations issued
in the annual public report in February
2013
(1)
, the Court has focused on
several additional possible actions:
–
ensure the effectiveness of the
future single supervisory authority by
supporting projects aimed at harmoni-
sing prudential regulations in the diffe-
rent euro zone countries;
–
establish legal mechanisms allo-
wing for the reconsideration of variable
pay, benefits and additional indemni-
ties to executive managers of financial
institutions whenever public aid is
given;
–
increase criminal and financial
penalties, both for executive managers
and for members of the Boards of
Directors of financial institutions in
the event of excessive risk-taking lea-
ding to the recognition of losses.
In order to limit Dexia’s impacts on
public finances, and in accordance with
the lessons learned from this situation,
the Court has issued the following
recommendations:
–
use, before the statute of limita-
tions is up in 2014, any means of legal
recourse still available to challenge the
supplementary pension scheme gran-
ted to Dexia’s former executive mana-
gers;
–
challenge the possibility offered
to civil servants to take another civil
service job while receiving indemnities
associated with the termination of
management duties in a public com-
pany or a company receiving public
financial aid;
–
take the legislative validation
measures needed to secure the condi-
tions for the signing of loan agreements
between credit institutions and the
local public sector;
–
verify the consistency of practices
exercised by Dexia Crédit Local and
the SFIL concerning the renegotiation
of structured loans issued to the local
public sector;
–
make sure public intervention is
consistent and effective in financing
the local public sector, by concretely
coordinating the budget for the Fonds
d’épargne and new loans by La Banque
Postale refinanced by CAFFIL.