The rollout of
state-guaranteed loans
Executive summary
2022 Annual Public Report
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Defined through legislation and regulation on 23 March 2020, state-guaranteed loans
(PGE) were quickly distributed by banks: of the €143bn in PGEs for nearly 700,000 businesses
at the end of 2021, 70% had been granted from June 2020 onwards. The Court of Accounts
has initiated an assessment of the PGEs, which will be completed in 2022. In its annual public
report, it presents findings on the implementation of the scheme.
A simple and flexible scheme, joint mobilisation by public administration
and banks
Faced with the risk of a credit crunch, European governments wanted to establish
"liquidity bridges" for businesses in the form of state-guaranteed loans. Within the framework
defined by the European Commission on 19 March 2020, France has implemented a system
that is more advantageous in terms of costs for businesses than other countries that have
rolled out comparable schemes, drawing on banking networks to distribute loans and Bpifrance
to manage the guarantee.
Delegating the processing of loan applications to banks was made easier by their good
financial health. The choice of this distribution channel, the design of a simple product and the
implementation of a fluid online application process for a guarantee certificate from Bpifrance
made it possible to roll out the scheme significantly more quickly than in other countries. The
companies interviewed by the Court highlighted the climate of cooperation that characterised
dialogue with the banks and the fluidity of the application process.
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PGE application process
Source: Court of Accounts
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A rapid and large-scale rollout
Most PGEs were taken out in April and May 2020. The pace of subscriptions slowed
significantly in 2021. The scheme has been particularly popular with very small businesses,
which received nearly 88% of loans as of 31 December 2021 (although 37% by amount). The
retail sector is the number one beneficiary by amount, ahead of hotels-cafés-restaurants,
industry and construction.
Guaranteed loans relative to the added value of non-financial corporations businesses
(2019)
Source: data from the ICO (Spain), KfW (Germany), SACE from the Ministry of the Economy (Italy) and
data.gouv.fr (France), listed in the "Covid-19 credit support programmes in Europe's five largest economies",
Julia Andersen, Francesco Papadia, Nicolas Véron
The rate of PGE rejections has remained limited and stable at around 2.9%, a lower level
than usual for cash loans. Nearly two-thirds of rejections led to appeals to the credit mediator,
a free and confidential service provided by Banque de France. The mediator's involvement led
to a positive outcome in half of the cases processed.
A response to the cash flow needs of businesses, a real cost that is still
uncertain for the State
The significant mobilisation of public and private stakeholders has enabled the PGE
scheme to achieve its short-term objectives, consisting of preserving companies' liquidity,
avoiding any credit crunch in a period of great uncertainty and limiting the number of business
failures. However, PGEs have increased the indebtedness of businesses in France, which
already have more bank debt than in other European countries. The situations vary depending
on the company and require careful monitoring in the coming months.
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Nearly 15% of businesses have chosen to repay their PGE from 2021 and just 50% have
opted for a two-year deferred repayment. The cost for the State, which benefited from the
guarantee premiums in 2020 and 2021, will ultimately depend on the default rate among PGE
recipients: the estimates available so far, about which there are many uncertainties, converge
at around 4%, giving a net cost for the State
of less than €3bn.
While the characteristics chosen for PGEs in France have made it possible at this stage
to avoid the large-scale fraud phenomena that have been seen in other countries, attention will
need to be paid over time to the risks of optimisation and the improvement of the financial
management tools.
The complete assessment of the scheme, which the Court is currently conducting, should
make it possible to formulate audit recommendations and measure whether state-guaranteed
loans have helped to secure the long-term viability of businesses affected by the pandemic.